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Novavax Inc (NVAX)

Novavax, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing vaccines for serious infectious diseases in the United States, Europe, and other international markets. The company markets Nuvaxovid, its COVID-19 vaccine, and the R21 Matrix-M adjuvant malaria vaccine. Novavax also has collaboration and license agreements with Sanofi, Pfizer Inc., Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited, and Serum Life Sciences Limited related to the development, manufacture, and commercialization of its COVID-19 vaccine. Incorporated in 1987, Novavax is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland. Its common stock is listed on the NASDAQ exchange under the symbol NVAX.


Stock Summary Fair Value Profitability & Growth Quality & Risk Events & Dividends Market Outlook FAQ

Jump directly to the stock analysis sections supported by the latest available data.

Data update note: Fair value and stock analysis metrics are updated after regular market sessions when new data becomes available.
Ticker Fair Value Fair Value Upside/Downside Fair Value Rating Analyst Price Target Analyst Target Upside/Downside Analyst Target Rating Overall Financial Health Dividend Yield Next Earnings Date Price-to-Sales Ratio Market Cap Enterprise Value Total Debt / Total Capital Free Float / Shares Outstanding Altman Z-Score Free Cash Flow / Net Income
NASDAQ-NVAX
$7.49
-25.8% Downside
Overvalued
$14
38.6% Upside
Undervalued
Good
0.0%
November 5, 2026
4.0x
1.666 B
1.227 B
15.3%
86.4%
-6.2
17.0%
Valuation • Fair Value

Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) Fair Value by Valuation Model

Review the available estimates for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX), including DCF Fair Value, EPV Fair Value, Comps Fair Value.

Primary Valuation Read

Fair Value

$7.49

Estimated downside of 25.8% versus the current market price.

Fair Value Confidence

Med

Confidence level for the primary fair value estimate.

DCF Fair Value

$7.41

Discounted cash flow valuation reference.

EPV Fair Value

$6.09

Earnings power value estimate.

Comps Fair Value

$7.78

Comparable-company valuation reference.

Analyst Price Target

$14

Analysts imply upside of 38.6%.

How to read these valuation models

Use the 6 available valuation references for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) as analytical inputs, not a standalone conclusion. Valuation methods can differ because they rely on different assumptions, time horizons and financial inputs; compare the estimates with the current price and the company’s financial quality.

Profitability • Growth

Profitability & Growth for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX)

Review the profitability and growth indicators currently supported by the latest data.

Revenue

413.8 M

Current operating scale indicator.

Revenue Forecast

385 M

Forward revenue estimate.

EBITDA

-101.6 M

Current operating profitability reference.

EBITDA Forecast

-120.9 M

Forward operating profitability estimate.

How to read profitability and growth

This section helps investors review Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) from an operating perspective by combining current scale, forward revenue expectations and EBITDA-related profitability measures.

Quality • Risk

Quality & Financial Risk for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX)

Review the financial quality and risk indicators currently supported by the latest data.

Financial Health

Good

Positive financial-health read.

Piotroski Score

1

Weak quality score that deserves closer review.

Beneish M-Score

-16.95

No elevated caution signal from this screen.

Altman Z-Score

-6.2

Lower score that deserves closer risk review.

FCF / Net Income

17.0%

Cash conversion quality indicator.

How to read quality and risk

This section combines quality, balance-sheet and accounting-risk indicators for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX). Read the metrics together: no single score is a complete investment conclusion, but the combined view can highlight financial strength, earnings quality and areas that may deserve closer review.

Events • Dividends

Upcoming Events & Dividends for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX)

Track the upcoming dates and dividend metrics currently supported by the latest data.

Next Earnings Date

November 5, 2026

Days to Earnings

48

Dividend Yield

0.0%

No current dividend yield is indicated.

How to read events and dividends

This section helps investors track time-sensitive items for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX), including the next earnings date and dividend-related milestones. These items can matter for short-term volatility, income planning and event-driven positioning.

Stock Forecast • Technical Outlook

Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) Stock Forecast & Technical Outlook

Review Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) across multiple technical time frames, alongside analyst recommendation data, to form a faster read on market positioning and near-term sentiment.

Technical Signals by Time Frame

Switch between time frames to review the current technical signal for the stock.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: 15-minute • intraday
Strong Buy

The 15-minute technical read for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: 1-hour • short-term
Strong Buy

The 1-hour technical read for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: daily • daily
Strong Buy

The daily technical read for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: weekly • weekly
Strong Buy

The weekly technical read for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: monthly • monthly
Strong Buy

The monthly technical read for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Analyst Consensus for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX)

A consolidated view of buy, hold and sell recommendations based on the currently available analyst data.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Consolidated analyst recommendation mix
Strong Buy

Based on the available recommendation mix, Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) has a Strong Buy consensus, with 5 buy, 1 hold and 1 sell recommendations in the current data set.

Buy 5
Hold 1
Sell 1
FAQ • Fast Investor Answers

Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) Stock FAQ

Data-supported answers about Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX), including explicit coverage status where a reliable valuation estimate is not currently available.

Fair Value
$7.49
Estimated downside 25.8%
Valuation Rating
Overvalued
Estimated downside of 25.8%
Analyst Target
$14
Implied upside 38.6%
Financial Health
Good
Current financial-health read

The current fair value estimate for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) is $7.49. This implies an estimated downside of 25.8% versus the current market price.

Based on the current fair value estimate, the stock appears overvalued, with estimated downside of 25.8% versus the current market price.

The available analyst price target for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) is $14. The analyst target implies estimated upside of 38.6%.

The current financial health read for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) is Good. This should be reviewed alongside valuation, profitability, debt and cash-flow quality metrics.

The next earnings date currently listed for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) is November 5, 2026.

The latest available data indicates no current dividend yield for Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX).

The current market capitalization listed for Novavax Inc is 1.666 B.

The current enterprise value listed for Novavax Inc is 1.227 B. Enterprise value can provide a broader valuation view than market capitalization alone because it also considers net debt.

The ticker symbol for Novavax Inc is NASDAQ-NVAX, and the stock is listed on NASDAQ.

Novavax Inc (NASDAQ-NVAX) is listed on NASDAQ.

The current debt-to-total-capital ratio listed for Novavax Inc is 15.3%, which helps investors evaluate the company’s financing structure and leverage profile.

The free float listed for Novavax Inc is 86.4%. Free float helps investors understand how much of the share base is available for public trading.

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