Overvalued Stocks

#1

Deere & Company (DE)

Industrials · Machinery

Why #1: 34.9% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 500 membership strengthens market credibility; revenue forecast is declining and reinforces valuation risk; $174.20B market capitalization i

DE

NYSE

-34.9% Downside Overvalued

7.4% Upside

35.8x

6.2x

3.6x

1.0%

Fair

$174.20B

#2

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp (MSGS)

Communication Services · Entertainment

Why #2: 41.0% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; Medium Primary Fair Value confidence; Russell 1000 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples remain elevated for its sector; $9.36B market capitalization i

MSGS

NYSE

-41.0% Downside Overvalued

23.7% Upside

1,209.8x

—

8.1x

—

Fair

$9.36B

#3

Apple Inc (AAPL)

Information Technology · Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Why #3: 23.4% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 100 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples remain elevated for its sector; $5.07T market capitalization i

AAPL

NASDAQ

-23.4% Downside Overvalued

-5.6% Downside

39.4x

47.2x

10.9x

0.3%

Great

$5.07T

#4

Southern Company (SO)

Utilities · Electric Utilities

Why #4: 17.2% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 100 membership strengthens market credibility; $106.90B market capitalization i

SO

NYSE

-17.2% Downside Fair

3.4% Upside

22.9x

2.7x

3.5x

3.3%

Good

$106.90B

#5

Gilead Sciences Inc (GILD)

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Why #5: 16.1% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 100 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples remain elevated for its sector; ebitda forecast is declining and reinforces valuation risk i

GILD

NASDAQ

-16.1% Downside Fair

2.7% Upside

—

16.4x

6.4x

2.1%

Great

$193.50B

#6

Visa Inc Class A (V)

Financials · Financial Services

Why #6: 11.2% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 100 membership strengthens market credibility; financial-sector valuation multiples are elevated; $748.80B market capitalization i

V

NYSE

-11.2% Downside Fair

4.3% Upside

33.4x

21.6x

16.8x

0.7%

Great

$748.80B

#7

Waters Corporation (WAT)

Healthcare · Life Sciences Tools & Services

Why #7: 24.6% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 500 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples remain elevated for its sector; $44.57B market capitalization — offset: revenue growth supports the valuation and may justify part of the premium i

WAT

NYSE

-24.6% Downside Overvalued

2.7% Upside

267.5x

2.9x

9.6x

—

Good

$44.57B

#8

Coca-Cola Co (KO)

Consumer Staples · Beverages

Why #8: 12.3% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 100 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples require additional justification; $398.90B market capitalization i

KO

NYSE

-12.3% Downside Fair

2.8% Upside

27.9x

11.0x

8.0x

2.3%

Great

$398.90B

#9

Philip Morris International Inc (PM)

Consumer Staples · Tobacco

Why #9: 10.6% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 100 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples require additional justification; $310.90B market capitalization i

PM

NYSE

-10.6% Downside Fair

5.5% Upside

29.1x

—

7.2x

3.2%

Great

$310.90B

#10

CrowdStrike Holdings Inc (CRWD)

Information Technology · Software

Why #10: 44.4% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; Medium Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 500 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples remain elevated for its sector; $264.30B market capitalization — offset: revenue growth supports the valuation and may justify part of the premium i

CRWD

NASDAQ

-44.4% Downside Overvalued

-4.2% Downside

5,874.0x

51.8x

49.0x

—

Fair

$264.30B

#11

Palo Alto Networks Inc (PANW)

Information Technology · Software

Why #11: 39.0% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; Medium Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 500 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples remain elevated for its sector; $311.30B market capitalization — offset: revenue growth supports the valuation and may justify part of the premium i

PANW

NASDAQ

-39.0% Downside Overvalued

4.7% Upside

1,014.0x

11.3x

27.1x

—

Good

$311.30B

#12

Nextera Energy Inc (NEE)

Utilities · Electric Utilities

Why #12: 11.9% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 100 membership strengthens market credibility; $172.20B market capitalization — offset: ebitda growth supports the valuation and may justify part of the premium i

NEE

NYSE

-11.9% Downside Fair

15.2% Upside

14.8x

2.8x

6.0x

3.0%

Good

$172.20B

#13

Williams Companies Inc (WMB)

Energy · Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels

Why #13: 10.1% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 500 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples require additional justification; $87.70B market capitalization — offset: ebitda growth supports the valuation and may justify part of the premium i

WMB

NYSE

-10.1% Downside Fair

18.9% Upside

28.6x

6.7x

7.1x

2.9%

Good

$87.70B

#14

Walmart Inc (WMT)

Consumer Staples · Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail

Why #14: 23.7% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 100 membership strengthens market credibility; $951.20B market capitalization — offset: ebitda growth supports the valuation and may justify part of the premium i

WMT

NASDAQ

-23.7% Downside Overvalued

6.3% Upside

43.1x

9.7x

1.3x

0.8%

Good

$951.20B

#15

Fastenal Company (FAST)

Industrials · Trading Companies & Distributors

Why #15: 20.2% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 500 membership strengthens market credibility; $59.56B market capitalization i

FAST

NASDAQ

-20.2% Downside Overvalued

-1.6% Downside

42.0x

14.4x

6.6x

2.0%

Great

$59.56B

#16

Boeing Co (BA)

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Why #16: 16.5% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; Medium Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 100 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples require additional justification; $148.90B market capitalization i

BA

NYSE

-16.5% Downside Fair

41.9% Upside

71.3x

24.4x

1.6x

—

Fair

$148.90B

#17

Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)

Consumer Discretionary · Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure

Why #17: 11.7% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 100 membership strengthens market credibility; $114.90B market capitalization i

SBUX

NASDAQ

-11.7% Downside Fair

9.3% Upside

57.9x

—

3.0x

2.5%

Good

$114.90B

#18

GE Aerospace (GE)

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Why #18: 11.0% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 100 membership strengthens market credibility; $295.20B market capitalization i

GE

NYSE

-11.0% Downside Fair

34.0% Upside

32.1x

16.8x

5.6x

0.7%

Good

$295.20B

#19

Tesla Inc (TSLA)

Consumer Discretionary · Automobiles

Why #19: 28.9% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; Medium Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 500 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples remain elevated for its sector; $1.47T market capitalization — offset: ebitda growth supports the valuation and may justify part of the premium i

TSLA

NASDAQ

-28.9% Downside Overvalued

9.4% Upside

456.9x

16.5x

14.2x

—

Fair

$1.47T

#20

Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR)

Information Technology · Software

Why #20: 26.8% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; Medium Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 500 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples remain elevated for its sector; $472.80B market capitalization — offset: revenue growth supports the valuation and may justify part of the premium i

PLTR

NASDAQ

-26.8% Downside Overvalued

5.0% Upside

156.7x

48.4x

76.8x

—

Great

$472.80B

#21

Duke Energy Corporation (DUK)

Utilities · Electric Utilities

Why #21: 16.0% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 100 membership strengthens market credibility; $97.45B market capitalization i

DUK

NYSE

-16.0% Downside Fair

5.7% Upside

18.9x

1.8x

3.0x

3.5%

Good

$97.45B

#22

Hecla Mining Co Pref (HL_PB)

Materials · Metals & Mining

Why #22: 27.9% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; Medium Primary Fair Value confidence; revenue forecast is declining and reinforces valuation risk; $9.30B market capitalization i

HL_PB

NYSE

-27.9% Downside Overvalued

—

16.8x

3.5x

5.3x

5.0%

Great

$9.30B

#23

Monster Beverage Corp (MNST)

Consumer Staples · Beverages

Why #23: 12.5% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; High Primary Fair Value confidence; S&P 500 membership strengthens market credibility; valuation multiples require additional justification; $90.49B market capitalization i

MNST

NASDAQ

-12.5% Downside Fair

7.8% Upside

42.5x

9.7x

9.8x

—

Great

$90.49B

#24

Natera Inc (NTRA)

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Why #24: 43.9% downside to PriceToWorth Primary Fair Value; Medium Primary Fair Value confidence; valuation multiples remain elevated for its sector; $58.23B market capitalization i

NTRA

NASDAQ

-43.9% Downside Overvalued

1.8% Upside

—

32.0x

21.5x

—

Good

$58.23B