The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is a common stock listing on the NASDAQ exchange under the ticker CAKE. The company operates and licenses restaurants across the United States and Canada, and it also runs bakeries that make cheesecakes and other baked goods. These bakery products are supplied to the company’s restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. Its restaurant portfolio includes The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. Founded in 1972, the company is headquartered in Calabasas, California.


Jump directly to the stock analysis sections supported by the latest available data.

Data update note: Fair value and stock analysis metrics are updated after regular market sessions when new data becomes available.
Ticker Fair Value Fair Value Upside/Downside Fair Value Rating Analyst Price Target Analyst Target Upside/Downside Analyst Target Rating Overall Financial Health Dividend Yield P/E Ratio Price-to-Book Ratio Price-to-Sales Ratio Market Cap Enterprise Value Total Debt / Total Capital Free Float / Shares Outstanding Altman Z-Score Payout Ratio Free Cash Flow / Net Income
NASDAQ-CAKE
$86.61
-20.1% Downside
Overvalued
$105.73
-2.4% Downside
Fair
Good
1.1%
30.2x
10.4x
1.4x
5.393 B
7.278 B
27.8%
92.2%
3.3
31.0%
115.5%
Valuation • Fair Value

The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) Fair Value by Valuation Model

Review the available estimates for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE), including DCF Fair Value, Ben Graham Formula Value, DDM Fair Value, Comps Fair Value.

Primary Valuation Read

Fair Value

$86.61

Estimated downside of 20.1% versus the current market price.

Fair Value Confidence

Med

Confidence level for the primary fair value estimate.

DCF Fair Value

$79.07

Discounted cash flow valuation reference.

Ben Graham Formula Value

$39.83

Classic Ben Graham valuation formula reference.

DDM Fair Value

$89.16

Dividend discount model valuation reference.

Comps Fair Value

$93.29

Comparable-company valuation reference.

Analyst Price Target

$105.73

Analysts imply downside of 2.4%.

How to read these valuation models

Use the 7 available valuation references for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) as analytical inputs, not a standalone conclusion. Valuation methods can differ because they rely on different assumptions, time horizons and financial inputs; compare the estimates with the current price and the company’s financial quality.

Profitability • Growth

Profitability & Growth for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE)

Review the profitability and growth indicators currently supported by the latest data.

Revenue

3.877 B

Current operating scale indicator.

Revenue Forecast

4.029 B

Forward revenue estimate.

EBITDA

355 M

Current operating profitability reference.

EBITDA Forecast

378.6 M

Forward operating profitability estimate.

How to read profitability and growth

This section helps investors review The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) from an operating perspective by combining current scale, forward revenue expectations and EBITDA-related profitability measures.

Quality • Risk

Quality & Financial Risk for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE)

Review the financial quality and risk indicators currently supported by the latest data.

Financial Health

Good

Positive financial-health read.

Piotroski Score

8

Relatively strong quality score.

Beneish M-Score

-2.76

No elevated caution signal from this screen.

Altman Z-Score

3.3

Relatively strong balance-sheet zone.

FCF / Net Income

115.5%

Cash conversion quality indicator.

How to read quality and risk

This section combines quality, balance-sheet and accounting-risk indicators for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE). Read the metrics together: no single score is a complete investment conclusion, but the combined view can highlight financial strength, earnings quality and areas that may deserve closer review.

Events • Dividends

Dividend Profile for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE)

Review the dividend metrics currently supported by the latest data.

Dividend Yield

1.1%

Current income yield reference.

Payout Ratio

31.0%

Dividend payout reference.

How to read events and dividends

Review the currently available dividend data for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE). No upcoming company event date is included in the latest data.

Stock Forecast • Technical Outlook

The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) Stock Forecast & Technical Outlook

Review The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) across multiple technical time frames, alongside analyst recommendation data, to form a faster read on market positioning and near-term sentiment.

Technical Signals by Time Frame

Switch between time frames to review the current technical signal for the stock.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: 15-minute • intraday
Neutral

The 15-minute technical read for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is currently Neutral. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: 1-hour • short-term
Strong Sell

The 1-hour technical read for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is currently Strong Sell. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: daily • daily
Sell

The daily technical read for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is currently Sell. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: weekly • weekly
Strong Buy

The weekly technical read for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: monthly • monthly
Strong Buy

The monthly technical read for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Analyst Consensus for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE)

A consolidated view of buy, hold and sell recommendations based on the currently available analyst data.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Consolidated analyst recommendation mix
Hold

Based on the available recommendation mix, The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) has a Hold consensus, with 4 buy, 13 hold and 1 sell recommendations in the current data set.

Buy 4
Hold 13
Sell 1
FAQ • Fast Investor Answers

The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) Stock FAQ

Data-supported answers about The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE), including explicit coverage status where a reliable valuation estimate is not currently available.

Fair Value
$86.61
Estimated downside 20.1%
Valuation Rating
Overvalued
Estimated downside of 20.1%
Analyst Target
$105.73
Implied downside 2.4%
Financial Health
Good
Current financial-health read

The current fair value estimate for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is $86.61. This implies an estimated downside of 20.1% versus the current market price.

Based on the current fair value estimate, the stock appears overvalued, with estimated downside of 20.1% versus the current market price.

The available analyst price target for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is $105.73. The analyst target implies estimated downside of 2.4%.

The current financial health read for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is Good. This should be reviewed alongside valuation, profitability, debt and cash-flow quality metrics.

Based on the current data, dividend yield is 1.1%.

The current P/E ratio listed for The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is 30.2x. Use it together with growth, margins and sector comparisons rather than as a standalone valuation signal.

The current market capitalization listed for The Cheesecake Factory is 5.393 B.

The current enterprise value listed for The Cheesecake Factory is 7.278 B. Enterprise value can provide a broader valuation view than market capitalization alone because it also considers net debt.

The ticker symbol for The Cheesecake Factory is NASDAQ-CAKE, and the stock is listed on NASDAQ.

The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ-CAKE) is listed on NASDAQ.

The current debt-to-total-capital ratio listed for The Cheesecake Factory is 27.8%, which helps investors evaluate the company’s financing structure and leverage profile.

The free float listed for The Cheesecake Factory is 92.2%. Free float helps investors understand how much of the share base is available for public trading.