Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY)

Firefly Aerospace Inc. is an industrial company focused on space and defense technology for national security, government, and commercial customers. The company develops integrated launch and space services intended to support launch, transit, and operations in space. Its offerings include Alpha, a responsive launch solution, and Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicle. Firefly also provides spacecraft platforms and related services through Blue Ghost for lunar delivery and operations and Elytra for maneuvering and servicing in space. Additional capabilities include software and sensor solutions, national security software, big data processing, responsive space services, and Ocula, a lunar imaging service. Incorporated in 2017, Firefly Aerospace is headquartered in Cedar Park, Texas, and its common stock trades on the NASDAQ under the symbol FLY.


Jump directly to the stock analysis sections supported by the latest available data.

Data update note: Fair value and stock analysis metrics are updated after regular market sessions when new data becomes available.
Ticker Fair Value Fair Value Upside/Downside Fair Value Rating Analyst Price Target Analyst Target Upside/Downside Analyst Target Rating Overall Financial Health Dividend Yield Next Earnings Date Price-to-Book Ratio Price-to-Sales Ratio Market Cap Enterprise Value Total Debt / Total Capital Free Float / Shares Outstanding Altman Z-Score Payout Ratio Free Cash Flow / Net Income
NASDAQ-FLY
$25.96
23.8% Upside
Undervalued
$38.60
84.1% Upside
Bargain
Fair
0.0%
November 18, 2026
2.9x
12.2x
3.51 B
2.929 B
1.4%
64.6%
3.5
-1.3%
88.1%
Valuation • Fair Value

Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) Fair Value by Valuation Model

Review the available estimates for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY), including DCF Fair Value, Comps Fair Value.

Primary Valuation Read

Fair Value

$25.96

Estimated upside of 23.8% versus the current market price.

Fair Value Confidence

Low

Confidence level for the primary fair value estimate.

DCF Fair Value

$28.13

Discounted cash flow valuation reference.

Comps Fair Value

$23.80

Comparable-company valuation reference.

Analyst Price Target

$38.60

Analysts imply upside of 84.1%.

How to read these valuation models

Use the 5 available valuation references for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) as analytical inputs, not a standalone conclusion. Valuation methods can differ because they rely on different assumptions, time horizons and financial inputs; compare the estimates with the current price and the company’s financial quality.

Profitability • Growth

Profitability & Growth for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY)

Review the profitability and growth indicators currently supported by the latest data.

Revenue

287 M

Current operating scale indicator.

Revenue Forecast

436.9 M

Forward revenue estimate.

EBITDA

-259.2 M

Current operating profitability reference.

EBITDA Forecast

-273.4 M

Forward operating profitability estimate.

How to read profitability and growth

This section helps investors review Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) from an operating perspective by combining current scale, forward revenue expectations and EBITDA-related profitability measures.

Quality • Risk

Quality & Financial Risk for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY)

Review the financial quality and risk indicators currently supported by the latest data.

Financial Health

Fair

Mixed or neutral financial-health read.

Piotroski Score

5

Mid-range quality score.

Beneish M-Score

2.60

Higher caution zone on this screen.

Altman Z-Score

3.5

Relatively strong balance-sheet zone.

FCF / Net Income

88.1%

Cash conversion quality indicator.

How to read quality and risk

This section combines quality, balance-sheet and accounting-risk indicators for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY). Read the metrics together: no single score is a complete investment conclusion, but the combined view can highlight financial strength, earnings quality and areas that may deserve closer review.

Events • Dividends

Upcoming Events & Dividends for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY)

Track the upcoming dates and dividend metrics currently supported by the latest data.

Next Earnings Date

November 18, 2026

Days to Earnings

61

Dividend Yield

0.0%

No current dividend yield is indicated.

Payout Ratio

-1.3%

Dividend payout reference.

How to read events and dividends

This section helps investors track time-sensitive items for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY), including the next earnings date and dividend-related milestones. These items can matter for short-term volatility, income planning and event-driven positioning.

Stock Forecast • Technical Outlook

Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) Stock Forecast & Technical Outlook

Review Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) across multiple technical time frames, alongside analyst recommendation data, to form a faster read on market positioning and near-term sentiment.

Technical Signals by Time Frame

Switch between time frames to review the current technical signal for the stock.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: 15-minute • intraday
Buy

The 15-minute technical read for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is currently Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: 1-hour • short-term
Strong Sell

The 1-hour technical read for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is currently Strong Sell. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: daily • daily
Strong Sell

The daily technical read for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is currently Strong Sell. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: weekly • weekly
Strong Sell

The weekly technical read for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is currently Strong Sell. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: monthly • monthly
Sell

The monthly technical read for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is currently Sell. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Analyst Consensus for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY)

A consolidated view of buy, hold and sell recommendations based on the currently available analyst data.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Consolidated analyst recommendation mix
Buy

Based on the available recommendation mix, Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) has a Buy consensus, with 6 buy, 3 hold and 0 sell recommendations in the current data set.

Buy 6
Hold 3
Sell 0
FAQ Fast Investor Answers

Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) Stock FAQ

Data-supported answers about Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY), including explicit coverage status where a reliable valuation estimate is not currently available.

Fair Value
$25.96
Estimated upside 23.8%
Valuation Rating
Undervalued
Estimated upside of 23.8%
Analyst Target
$38.60
Implied upside 84.1%
Financial Health
Fair
Current financial-health read

The current fair value estimate for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is $25.96. This implies an estimated upside of 23.8% versus the current market price.

Based on the current fair value estimate, the stock appears undervalued, with estimated upside of 23.8% versus the current market price.

The available analyst price target for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is $38.60. The analyst target implies estimated upside of 84.1%.

The current financial health read for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is Fair. This should be reviewed alongside valuation, profitability, debt and cash-flow quality metrics.

The next earnings date currently listed for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is November 18, 2026.

The latest available data indicates no current dividend yield for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY).

The current market capitalization listed for Firefly Aerospace Inc is 3.51 B.

The current enterprise value listed for Firefly Aerospace Inc is 2.929 B. Enterprise value can provide a broader valuation view than market capitalization alone because it also considers net debt.

The ticker symbol for Firefly Aerospace Inc is NASDAQ-FLY, and the stock is listed on NASDAQ.

Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is listed on NASDAQ.

The current debt-to-total-capital ratio listed for Firefly Aerospace Inc is 1.4%, which helps investors evaluate the company’s financing structure and leverage profile.

The free float listed for Firefly Aerospace Inc is 64.6%. Free float helps investors understand how much of the share base is available for public trading.