Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY)

Firefly Aerospace Inc. is an industrial company focused on space and defense technology for national security, government, and commercial customers. The company develops integrated launch and space services intended to support launch, transit, and operations in space. Its offerings include Alpha, a responsive launch solution, and Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicle. Firefly also provides spacecraft platforms and related services through Blue Ghost for lunar delivery and operations and Elytra for maneuvering and servicing in space. Additional capabilities include software and sensor solutions, national security software, big data processing, responsive space services, and Ocula, a lunar imaging service. Incorporated in 2017, Firefly Aerospace is headquartered in Cedar Park, Texas, and its common stock trades on the NASDAQ under the symbol FLY.


Jump between the core stock analysis sections, valuation data, fair value models, technical outlook, and FAQ.

Data update note: Fair value and stock analysis metrics are updated after regular market sessions when new data becomes available.
Ticker Fair Value Fair Value Upside/Downside Fair Value Rating Analyst Price Target Analyst Target Upside/Downside Analyst Target Rating Overall Financial Health Upcoming Dividend Ex-Date Dividend Payment Date Upcoming Dividend Dividend Yield Next Earnings Date P/E Ratio Price-to-Book Ratio Price-to-Sales Ratio Market Cap Enterprise Value Total Debt / Total Capital Free Float / Shares Outstanding Altman Z-Score Payout Ratio Free Cash Flow / Net Income
NASDAQ-FLY
$28.58
35.1% Upside
Undervalued
$48.11
127.5% Upside
Bargain
Weak
0.0%
August 11, 2026
-9.5x
3.1x
18.4x
3.152 B
2.911 B
1.7%
59.9%
2.9
-1.4%
71.8%
Valuation • Fair Value

Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) Fair Value by Valuation Model

Compare the primary fair value estimate for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) with model-based valuation references such as DCF, Ben Graham, DDM, EPV and comparable-company valuation.

Primary Valuation Read

Fair Value

$28.58

Estimated upside of 35.1% versus the current market price.

Fair Value Confidence

Low

Confidence level for the primary fair value estimate.

DCF Fair Value

$33.91

Discounted cash flow valuation reference.

Ben Graham Formula Value

$0

Classic Ben Graham valuation formula reference.

DDM Fair Value

NM

Dividend discount model valuation reference.

EPV Fair Value

NM

Earnings power value estimate.

Comps Fair Value

$23.25

Comparable-company valuation reference.

Analyst Price Target

$48.11

Analysts imply upside of 127.5%.

How to read these valuation models

Use this section to compare the primary fair value estimate for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) with several model-based valuation references. Different models can produce different outputs because each method relies on a different set of assumptions, so the primary fair value estimate should be read alongside the model spread rather than in isolation.

Profitability • Growth

Profitability & Growth for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY)

A compact read on revenue, forward revenue expectations, EBITDA and operating profitability trends.

Revenue

184.9 M

Current operating scale indicator.

Revenue Forecast

439.1 M

Forward revenue estimate.

EBITDA

-224.8 M

Current operating profitability reference.

EBITDA Forecast

-257.2 M

Forward operating profitability estimate.

How to read profitability and growth

This section helps investors review Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) from an operating perspective by combining current scale, forward revenue expectations and EBITDA-related profitability measures.

Quality • Risk

Quality & Financial Risk for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY)

Review financial health, earnings quality and balance-sheet risk through Piotroski, Beneish, Altman and cash conversion metrics.

Financial Health

Weak

Financial pressure deserves closer review.

Piotroski Score

5

Mid-range quality score.

Beneish M-Score

-1.47

Higher caution zone on this screen.

Altman Z-Score

2.9

Intermediate risk zone.

FCF / Net Income

71.8%

Cash conversion quality indicator.

How to read quality and risk

This section combines quality, balance-sheet and accounting-risk indicators for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY). Read the metrics together: no single score is a complete investment conclusion, but the combined view can highlight financial strength, earnings quality and areas that may deserve closer review.

Events • Dividends

Upcoming Events & Dividends for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY)

Track the next earnings date, ex-dividend date, dividend payment date, dividend yield and upcoming distribution details where available.

Next Earnings Date

August 11, 2026

Days to Earnings

21

Dividend Payment Date

Not available

Ex-Dividend Date

Not available

Dividend Yield

0.0%

Income yield reference.

Upcoming Dividend

Not available

Data is currently unavailable.

Payment Type

Not available

Data is currently unavailable.

Dividend Currency

Not available

Data is currently unavailable.

Payout Ratio

-1.4%

Dividend payout reference.

How to read events and dividends

This section helps investors track time-sensitive items for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY), including the next earnings date and dividend-related milestones. These items can matter for short-term volatility, income planning and event-driven positioning.

Stock Forecast • Technical Outlook

Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) Stock Forecast & Technical Outlook

Review Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) across multiple technical time frames, alongside analyst recommendation data, to form a faster read on market positioning and near-term sentiment.

Technical Signals by Time Frame

Switch between time frames to review the current technical signal for the stock.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: 15-minute • intraday
Strong Buy

The 15-minute technical read for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: 1-hour • short-term
Strong Buy

The 1-hour technical read for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is currently Strong Buy. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: daily • daily
Strong Sell

The daily technical read for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is currently Strong Sell. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: weekly • weekly
Strong Sell

The weekly technical read for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is currently Strong Sell. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Time frame: monthly • monthly
Neutral

The monthly technical read for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is currently Neutral. Use it as a timing signal only, and compare it with valuation, fundamentals and upcoming events before drawing a broader view.

Analyst Consensus for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY)

A consolidated view of buy, hold and sell recommendations based on the currently available analyst data.

Strong Sell Sell Neutral Buy Strong Buy
Consolidated analyst recommendation mix
Strong Buy

Based on the available recommendation mix, Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) has a Strong Buy consensus, with 6 buy, 2 hold and 0 sell recommendations in the current data set.

Buy 6
Hold 2
Sell 0
FAQ Fast Investor Answers

Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) Stock FAQ

Quick answers about Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) stock, including fair value, valuation rating, analyst price target, dividends, earnings dates, market capitalization, financial health and other key stock analysis metrics.

Fair Value
$28.58
Estimated upside 35.1%
Valuation Rating
Undervalued
Estimated upside of 35.1%
Analyst Target
$48.11
Implied upside 127.5%
Financial Health
Weak
Current financial-health read

The current fair value estimate for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is $28.58. This implies an estimated upside of 35.1% versus the current market price.

Based on the current fair value estimate, the stock appears undervalued, with estimated upside of 35.1% versus the current market price.

The available analyst price target for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is $48.11. The analyst target implies estimated upside of 127.5%.

The current financial health read for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is Weak. This should be reviewed alongside valuation, profitability, debt and cash-flow quality metrics.

The next earnings date currently listed for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is August 11, 2026.

Based on the current data, dividend yield is 0.0%.

The current P/E ratio listed for Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is -9.5x. Use it together with growth, margins and sector comparisons rather than as a standalone valuation signal.

The current market capitalization listed for Firefly Aerospace Inc is 3.152 B.

The current enterprise value listed for Firefly Aerospace Inc is 2.911 B. Enterprise value can provide a broader valuation view than market capitalization alone because it also considers net debt.

The ticker symbol for Firefly Aerospace Inc is NASDAQ-FLY, and the stock is listed on NASDAQ.

Firefly Aerospace Inc (NASDAQ-FLY) is listed on NASDAQ.

The current debt-to-total-capital ratio listed for Firefly Aerospace Inc is 1.7%, which helps investors evaluate the company’s financing structure and leverage profile.

The free float listed for Firefly Aerospace Inc is 59.9%. Free float helps investors understand how much of the share base is available for public trading.